US close
🔔 US close • how the session finished
Bitcoin is up 2.5% since the open brief, at 80,192, and Ether is up 4.6%. The day turns on Average Hourly Earnings m/m at 01:30 PM UTC (forecast 0.3%, previous 0.1%). The desk closed 4 since the last brief for −3.09R.
Alts, daily close: the basket is -6.6% on the week, 21% of 198 coins above their 20-day average, 1 pumping (CLANKER). The sample's base rate is a median -1.7% week for the basket, up about a third of the time.
Since the last brief
Majors
Prices and sparklines from Kraken; the sparkline is the last seven days on 4h. Range position: 0% at the 20-day low, 100% at the high.
Positioning
| Coin | Funding | Funding vs history | Open interest | OI 24h | OI vs history | Long/short |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | +0.0035% | $7.74B | +0.0% | 1.39 | ||
| ETH | +0.0030% | $5.76B | +6.0% | 1.85 | ||
| SOL | +0.0100% | $881.2M | +1.2% | 2.93 |
Funding in % per 8h from Binance (Bybit when Binance has none); open interest and long/short from Binance and Bybit. Each bar places today's number among the coin's own last 90 days: a full bar is higher than every day of them. The top and bottom tenth are marked.
Liquidations
Last hour$325.7K longs · $137.0K shortsLast 24 hours$34.9M longs · $72.0M shortsOur own recording of the Bybit, Binance and OKX liquidation streams.
Biggest print: BTC short $5.7M at 80,798 · 03:13 PM UTC
Options positioning
- Call wall80,000−0.2% from spot
- Put wall80,000−0.2% from spot
- Max pain78,000−2.7% from spot
- Gamma flip76,581−4.5% from spot
- Call wall2,400−1.0% from spot
- Put wall2,400−1.0% from spot
- Max pain2,320−4.3% from spot
- Gamma flip2,253−7.0% from spot
From Deribit's options book. Positive gamma: dealers tend to damp moves. Negative: they tend to add to them. The flip is where that changes.
Levels the bot tracks
- BTCPDH77,970−2.8% away
- BTCPDL76,254−4.9% away
- BTCPWH81,882+2.1% away
- BTCPWL76,156−5.0% away
- ETHPDH2,305−4.9% away
- ETHPDL2,237−7.7% away
- ETHPWH2,390−1.4% away
- ETHPWL2,170−10.4% away
Levels computed by the bot from price (prior highs and lows, opens, pattern necklines), not picks by the desk. Set alerts on these levels in the Terminal.
Macro and rates
Indices, the dollar, gold and Treasury yields from Yahoo Finance.
Today's events
From the ForexFactory calendar; times in your time zone.
- ISM Services PMIForecast 54.8Previous 54.9
- Average Hourly Earnings m/mForecast 0.3%Previous 0.1%
- Non-Farm Employment ChangeForecast 65KPrevious 29K
- Unemployment RateForecast 4.2%Previous 4.2%
Earnings
| Company | When | EPS forecast | EPS actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMD | – | 1.68 | 1.84 | +9.5% |
| AAPL | – | 1.98 | 2.05 | +3.5% |
| PLTR | – | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.0% |
Dates and estimates from Nasdaq.
The desk
Closed since the last brief
R is the result in units of the risk taken. Every call is on the public record, losses included.
Headlines
- CNBC MarketsAnalysis: The Democrats have one chance to extract concessions from Trump. Markets will hate it
- CNBC MarketsPrivate companies added 86,000 jobs in October, slightly higher than expected, ADP says
- CNBC MarketsEuro zone inflation hits 4% for first time in three years as interest rate hike looms
- CNBC MarketsJob openings posted big September gain in positive sign for labor market ahead of payrolls report
- CNBC MarketsAustralia hikes rates to 18-year high to fight inflation
- CNBC MarketsSouth Korea targets 'world's highest performance' sovereign AI model in record new budget
Titles and links only; each opens at its source.