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Bitcoin is up 0.7% since the close brief, at 77,263, and Ether is up 1.5%. The day turns on Congressional Elections at 03:16 PM UTC. The desk closed nothing between these briefs.
Alts, daily close: the basket is -7.2% on the week, 18% of 198 coins above their 20-day average, 3 pumping (ARIA, EVAA, HAEDAL). The sample's base rate is a median -1.7% week for the basket, up about a third of the time.
Since the last brief
Majors
Prices and sparklines from Kraken; the sparkline is the last seven days on 4h. Range position: 0% at the 20-day low, 100% at the high.
Positioning
| Coin | Funding | Funding vs history | Open interest | OI 24h | OI vs history | Long/short |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | +0.0100% | $7.71B | +2.9% | 2.65 | ||
| ETH | +0.0100% | $5.40B | +0.3% | 2.49 | ||
| SOL | +0.0100% | $871.8M | −0.9% | 3.20 |
Funding in % per 8h from Binance (Bybit when Binance has none); open interest and long/short from Binance and Bybit. Each bar places today's number among the coin's own last 90 days: a full bar is higher than every day of them. The top and bottom tenth are marked.
Liquidations
Last hour$1.1M longs · $3.0M shortsLast 24 hours$32.9M longs · $10.5M shortsOur own recording of the Bybit, Binance and OKX liquidation streams.
Biggest print: ETH short $1.1M at 2,273 · 11:03 AM UTC
Options positioning
- Max pain77,500+0.3% from spot
- Call wall78,000+1.0% from spot
- Gamma flip75,912−1.7% from spot
- Put wall74,000−4.2% from spot
- Call wall2,300+0.7% from spot
- Max pain2,260−1.0% from spot
- Gamma flip2,204−3.5% from spot
- Put wall2,000−12.4% from spot
From Deribit's options book. Positive gamma: dealers tend to damp moves. Negative: they tend to add to them. The flip is where that changes.
Levels the bot tracks
- BTCPDH78,740+1.9% away
- BTCPDL76,565−0.9% away
- BTCPWH81,882+6.0% away
- BTCPWL76,156−1.4% away
- ETHPDH2,314+1.3% away
- ETHPDL2,234−2.2% away
- ETHPWH2,390+4.6% away
- ETHPWL2,170−5.0% away
Levels computed by the bot from price (prior highs and lows, opens, pattern necklines), not picks by the desk. Set alerts on these levels in the Terminal.
Macro and rates
Indices, the dollar, gold and Treasury yields from Yahoo Finance.
Today's events
From the ForexFactory calendar; times in your time zone.
- Congressional Elections
- ISM Services PMIForecast 54.8Previous 54.9
Earnings
| Company | When | EPS forecast | EPS actual | Surprise |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAPL | – | 1.98 | 2.05 | +3.5% |
| PLTR | – | 0.32 | 0.32 | 0.0% |
| AMD | After the close | 1.68 | – | – |
Dates and estimates from Nasdaq.
Headlines
- CNBC MarketsAustralia hikes rates to 18-year high to fight inflation
- CNBC MarketsSouth Korea targets 'world's highest performance' sovereign AI model in record new budget
- CNBC MarketsEuro zone economy slows to 0.4% growth in Q3 as crisis-hit France contracts
- CNBC MarketsEuropean Central Bank keeps key interest rate on hold at 2.5%
- CNBC MarketsThird-quarter U.S. GDP increases a better-than-expected 3.4% as September inflation accelerates
- CNBC MarketsThe politics of President Lagarde's European Central Bank early exit — and who could replace her
Titles and links only; each opens at its source.