Published a day after it posted for members. The archive

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BTC 80,629, -0.21% today • 24h range 79,702 to 81,688, mid range (47%)

ETH 2,337, -0.45% today • 24h range 2,312 to 2,384, in the lower half of that range (34%)

SOL 101.44, +0.22% today • 24h range 99.73 to 103.52, mid range (45%)

📈 Stocks ES +0.18% • NQ +0.29% • VIX -0.74%

🪙 Metals Gold -0.18% • Silver -0.10%

🌍 Macro DXY +0.03% • Brent -2.18%

🏦 Rates 10Y 4.99% +0bp • 30Y 5.30% -0bp • 10Y less 3M +95bp, positive

Wed 28 Oct, 09:00 ET • overnight tape. Measured numbers only, no forecasts. Not financial advice.

Levels into the session

BTC PDH 81,200 (below, 11 tests), PDL 79,378 (above, 4 tests), round 81,000

ETH PDH 2,362 (below, 10 tests), PDL 2,294 (above, 4 tests), round 2,300

SOL PDH 101.72 (below, 10 tests), PDL 99.02 (above, 2 tests), round 100

Daily EMAs, 9 to 200 (▲ price above, ▼ below)

BTC 80,629 · stack mixed · 50/200 golden cross 46d ago

9 EMA 81,016 ▼ · 21 EMA 81,668 ▼ · 50 EMA 80,732 ▼ · 100 EMA 77,750 ▲ · 200 EMA 76,411 ▲

ETH 2,337 · stack mixed · 50/200 golden cross 51d ago

9 EMA 2,366 ▼ · 21 EMA 2,425 ▼ · 50 EMA 2,448 ▼ · 100 EMA 2,361 ▼ · 200 EMA 2,319 ▲

Positioning

BTC funding +0.0058%, OI $7.75B, L/S 1.86

ETH funding +0.0069%, OI $5.53B, L/S 2.90

SOL funding +0.0100% _(highest in 30 days)_, OI $922.4M, L/S 2.90 _(higher than 85% of the last 30 days)_

Spot ETF flows, net

BTC ETFs +$176M on Tue 27 Oct • 2 straight days in • 5d +$37.6M • led by IBIT +$152M

ETH ETFs -$60.2M on Tue 27 Oct • 2 straight days out • 5d -$240M • led by ETHA -$93.3M

SOL ETFs -$19.2M on Tue 27 Oct • 2 straight days out • 5d -$35.7M • led by GSOL -$19.2M

Liquidations, last 12h

$4.4M longs against $6.7M shorts over 12h, shorts took it.

BTC heaviest near 80,657, $602k of longs

ETH heaviest near 2,380, $646k of shorts

SOL heaviest near 103.27, $119k of shorts

Options positioning

BTC dealers long gamma for 13 days, spot above the flip at 78,621 • walls 80,000 / 80,000

ETH dealers short gamma, spot below the flip at 2,343 • walls 2,300 / 2,500

Long gamma damps the tape, short gamma amplifies it. Positioning, not direction.

TradFi • TPR One

TradFi

day week level

NVDA up agrees *PWH 222.2

AAPL up agrees *PWH 351.7

MSFT up agrees PDH 533.2

GOOGL down opposes PWL 320.2

AMZN up agrees *PWH 265.3

META up agrees PDL 627.8

AVGO down opposes PWH 341.1

TSLA up opposes clear

LLY up agrees PDH 1,297

4 rows not shown

* marks a level as untested: nobody has traded back to it yet, which is when a level still pulls price.

Levels untested and still pulling price: NVDA, AAPL, AMZN, JPM

Levels sit underneath: GOOGL, AVGO, JPM, GOLD, SLVR

Scheduled today

Calendar

• Wed 18:00 UTC - Federal Funds Rate (forecast 4.00%, previous 4.00%)

• Wed 18:00 UTC - FOMC Statement

• Wed 18:30 UTC - FOMC Press Conference

• Thu 12:30 UTC - Advance GDP q/q (forecast 3.2%, previous 1.5%)

• Thu 12:30 UTC - Core PCE (September) (forecast 0.3%, previous 0.2%)

Earnings

• GOOGL 2026-10-28 after the close, impact 80/100

• MSFT 2026-10-28 after the close, impact 70/100

• AMZN 2026-10-29 after the close

• MSTR 2026-10-29 after the close

• COIN 2026-10-29 after the close

Not financial advice. The brief is written by templates from the numbers, with no AI, and says what happened, not what to trade.